Open Book

India aiming at 10 pct/yr GDP growth by 2011/12

Recently in a press meeting manmahan singh our president has said India can achieve a 10% GDP growth, he is optimistic. But will it be just another eye wash to hide the countries soaring problems .this has worked for every other politician so far, so it should for prime minister too..

Here is the gist of his press meet Prime Minister Manmohan Singh said on Wednesday the government was aiming to achieve 10 percent annual GDP growth by the year 2011/12, but the country needed over $300 billion to upgrade its infrastructure over the next five years.

Singh told a meeting of the Planning Commission that the country needed double-digit growth in manufacturing and services sectors in the next five years, and had to double farm output, if it was to meet the target.India has grown at an average of 8 percent in the past three years, and analysts say it will struggle to achieve 10 percent growth, needed to eradicate widespread poverty, unless it improves creaking infrastructure.

Shoddy roads, power shortages and congested ports all hinder growth. (Not again)
"Infrastructure development is a major constraint on our industrial growth," said Singh, also the commission's chairman and considered the architect of India's economic reforms. "We would need more than 14 trillion rupees ($308 billion) by 2012."He said some of the investment in infrastructure would have to come from the private sector.

But private players have been slow to invest in power projects and roads due to the absence of proper user charges.Analysts say India will need to raise its household savings and investment rates as a percentage of GDP so it can spend more and achieve a higher growth trajectory.An approach paper prepared by the Planning Commission in June said the investment rate as a percentage of GDP should go up to 33.6 percent, while the savings rate must hit 31 percent, with the difference to be bridged through foreign investment.

The paper said India must target an average annual growth of 8.5 percent during the eleventh plan period of 2007-12 through faster reforms and fiscal discipline.
It set an annual growth target for the farm sector of 3.9 percent, 9.9 percent for industry, and 9.4 percent for the services sector.The paper added exports need to grow by 16 percent a year and imports by 12.1 percent, and the current account deficit must be reined in at 2.6 percent of GDP during the next five year period.

Let me highlight, So that you can think about the problems India really faces ,just go through the press meet gist once more and find yourself how to simplify things.



Here is the gist of his press meet Prime Minister Manmohan Singh said on Wednesday the government was aiming to achieve 10 percent annual GDP growth by the year 2011/12, but the country needed over $300 billion to upgrade its infrastructure over the next five years.


Singh told a meeting of the Planning Commission that the country needed double-digit growth in manufacturing and services sectors in the next five years, and had to double farm output, if it was to meet the target.India has grown at an average of 8 percent in the past three years, and analysts say it will struggle to achieve 10 percent growth, needed to eradicate widespread poverty, unless it improves creaking infrastructure.

Shoddy roads, power shortages and congested ports all hinder growth. (Not again)


"Infrastructure development is a major constraint on our industrial growth," said Singh, also the commission's chairman and considered the architect of India's economic reforms. "We would need more than 14 trillion rupees ($308 billion) by 2012."

He said some of the investment in infrastructure would have to come from the private sector.
where will they get the money from?

But private players have been slow to invest in power projects and roads due to the absence of proper user charges.Analysts say India will need to raise its household savings and investment rates as a percentage of GDP so it can spend more and achieve a higher growth trajectory.

An approach paper prepared by the Planning Commission in June said the investment rate as a percentage of GDP should go up to 33.6 percent, while the savings rate must hit 31 percent, with the difference to be bridged through foreign investment.The paper said India must target an average annual growth of 8.5 percent during the eleventh plan period of 2007-12 through faster reforms and fiscal discipline. We don't know about the fiscal deficit of China but sure every Indian knows about our fiscal deficit.

It set an annual growth target for the farm sector of 3.9 percent, 9.9 percent for industry, and 9.4 percent for the services sector.The paper added exports need to grow by 16 percent a year and imports by 12.1 percent, and the current account deficit must be reined in at 2.6 percent of GDP during the next five year period.

Now whats your stand.I am still optimistic about our Prime minister

If you are in India Now...hare babu..this is the time to start an company of your own.Dont believe me.Then you are dreaming in neverland.Indian Economy is growing at a break neck speed(GDP 8% IN 2005) and nowadays all that foreign investors need to think about is whether to invest India or China.In India they are eyeing key growth areas,obivously IT and ITES .But even other sectors such as Agriculture,Mining,Petrochemical,Textile and Biotechnology are getting money pumoed in from foreign soil.So gear up and Enjoy the ride guys.It's gonna be fun and Sun in paradise.
These strategies will help you,put your pedal down and accelerate in the direction of getting your companies moving.

1) Exit Strategy

This is the number one point actually and the presenters emphasized it very heavily. You absolutely must know how you will cash out and get the big upside from building the business. Venture capitalists and angels are looking for approximately a 10x return in 5 years on their money, so your venture must be able to provide this. A popular exit strategy is being bought-out by a massive competitor or partner, such as the Web 2.0 companies who have been or are hoping to be aquired by a giant like Google. Other strategies like going public or simply liquidating the business exist, but remember that ultimately your exit strategy has to have data and some realistic thinking behind it.

2) Entry Barriers

A great idea is a start, but you need to be able to show that you can stay in the game after the cat is out of the bag. Who will your competitors be? What protects you from a much larger company entering the market with their own product and wiping you out? The stronger your entry barriers the more of the market you can reasonably expect to claim and the greater the chance your company will be around long enough to get that upside.

This was a really interesting one to look at when the people who volunteered to pitch their ideas presented. Patents came up a couple times, as well as some strong legislation banning an existing product. My favorite response came from a really cool laser technology start-up. Someone had asked about the risk of another researcher coming up with a similiar technique tomorrow. These two folks pointed out that their product required high expertise in a number of complex fields, and that very little research was being done in the area worldwide. Furthermore their prototype already worked and the venture was ready to build a fullscale machine as soon as they received funding. This placed statistics and time on their side.

3)What is Product/Service Similiar to?

This was a point I had never really heard before in terms of what VCs are looking for, but it makes a lot of sense. Your proposed business should have similiar ideas out there, or be a combination of similiar ideas. This provides a reference point for the potential investor and allows you to show a proven market.

If you have a really novel idea you can certainly still get funding, but this uniqueness can actually work against you.

4) Existing Revenue

The general rule presented was that angel investors don’t require revenue to be present, but venture capitalists usually do. This ties back to a mistake that entrepreneurs often make - seeking out venture capital funding too early. It’s not all about making the VC happy either. By having real revenue coming in at the time of investment you will also protect more of your equity in the business. This is very important as your VC will end up owning most of the company.

5) How Much Money Do You Need? For What?

You not only need to know that you need money, you need to know how much and how you will spend. The VC will be looking for realistic estimates that show you have a real idea of how much your product will cost to bring to market. Don’t forget the operating expenses, marketing, and legal fees that will accompany your venture. One very good pitcher suggested that she and her partners will work for free until the product is selling. The presenter immediately pointed out that an investor would much rather put a few extra hundred thousand into a multi-million dollar investment and have you concentrating on it fulltime rather than working elsewhere too. So include a salary for yourself!

Another very interesting point was brought up here too - venture capitalists like to hear large numbers (not necessarily true with angels). A VC is obligated to invest a certain incredibly large figure in a very short period of time, and larger investments mean this can be done sooner. If your company puts $20 million to good use, that’s 4 $5 million start-ups that don’t have to be found.